Research, not advice. Disclosures →

Edition · · Published · Levels as of 2026-09-30 close

Watchlist: memory, optics, fintech & crypto

Five watchlist names were updated for the October 1 edition. MU ranks first, with LITE, COHR, and AAOI concentrating the optics theme and HOOD representing fintech and crypto exposure.

Positions: Position disclosure was not supplied in the source data for this edition.

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What changed

vs. previous edition
Added

MU · LITE · COHR · AAOI · HOOD

Removed

None

Levels moved

None

Themes

5 of 33 watchlist names updated this edition

Memory

MU

Post-earnings memory demand and guidance are the primary catalyst.

Optics

LITE · COHR · AAOI

Reclaims and defended pullbacks define the setup across the group.

Fintech & Crypto

HOOD

HOOD requires repair of the prior reversal before continuation.

NEWS

Market News

Source + timestamp required
ReutersTreasury yields remain the dominant cross-asset risk

The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached 5.34% before retreating, keeping long-duration growth stocks sensitive to rates even as major U.S. indexes held near flat-to-positive territory.

Reuters · · SPY · QQQ · TLT
Micron Investor RelationsMicron reports record fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results

Micron reported fiscal Q4 revenue of $54.23 billion and said AI-driven demand and strategic customer agreements support its fiscal 2027 outlook. The setup remains a price-confirmation trade rather than a conclusion drawn from the release alone.

Micron Investor Relations · · MU
Federal Reserve Board finalizes changes to enhance the transparency and public accountability of its stress test and reduce volatility in its stress test-related capital requirements

Federal Reserve Board finalizes changes to enhance the transparency and public accountability of its stress test and reduce volatility in its stress test-related capital requirements

Federal Reserve ·
Federal Reserve Board announces it will extend, until November 4, the comment period on its proposal to modernize Regulation O

Federal Reserve Board announces it will extend, until November 4, the comment period on its proposal to modernize Regulation O

Federal Reserve ·
ReutersAI spending remains strong, but financing and returns are becoming a bigger part of the debate

Reuters reported that investors are increasingly focused on the durability and financing of AI infrastructure spending as rates stay elevated. Casper treats this as market context, not a company-specific verified catalyst.

Reuters · · NVDA · AMD · AVGO · CRWV · IREN
ReutersSynopsys rallies after growth outlook and AI partnership updates

Reuters reported a double-digit share-price reaction after Synopsys outlined a stronger fiscal 2027 outlook and new OpenAI and AWS relationships. This remains secondary-source reporting until matched to primary company materials.

Reuters · · SNPS · AMZN

CHARTS

Charts

TradingView; data may be delayed

WATCHLIST

Watchlist

41 tracked symbols

SETUPS

Setups

Compact view
TickerThesisStatusTriggerInvalidationHorizon
AAOIOpticsHold $100 and reclaim $103.80 for continuation.watching$103.80$97.40intraday
Details

Structure$100 is the pivot and $103.80-$105 is the immediate supply zone.

ConfirmationClose above $105.

InvalidationLoss of $97.40 support.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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COHROpticsLong above $302.65 with participation; otherwise defend the $286 area.watching$302.65$285.98intraday
Details

StructureThe prior-day high is the immediate breakout test.

ConfirmationClose above $302.65.

InvalidationBelow $285.98.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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HOODFintech & CryptoLong only on a reclaim of $119.19 after the prior reversal.watching$119.19$114.93intraday
Details

StructureFresh product and AI-agent news did not prevent a reversal, so the prior high must be reclaimed.

ConfirmationHold above $119.19.

InvalidationBelow $114.93.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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LITEOpticsLong on a clean reclaim of $998.88; otherwise buy only defended pullbacks.watching$998.88$934.51intraday
Details

StructureOptics remains a leadership theme after strong recent volatility.

ConfirmationClose above $998.88.

InvalidationBelow $934.51.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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MUMemoryTrade the post-earnings range; favor long only on acceptance above the earnings-reaction high.watching——intraday
Details

StructureFresh record earnings and above-consensus guidance make MU the dominant catalyst; price must confirm the high expectations bar.

ConfirmationHold the breakout after earnings.

InvalidationLoss of the post-earnings reaction low.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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AAOIOpticsHigher-low repair after the $93.62 flush; continuation if $105 becomes support.watching$105.00$96.00swing
Details

StructureThe swing case requires the former supply zone to convert into support.

ConfirmationDaily close above $105.

InvalidationDaily close below $96.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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COHROpticsContinuation if $302.65 clears and holds.watching$302.65$285.98swing
Details

StructureSwing confirmation requires a daily close through the prior high.

ConfirmationDaily close above $302.65.

InvalidationClose below $285.98.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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HOODFintech & CryptoRepair the prior reversal before swing continuation.watching$119.19$114.93swing
Details

StructureThe swing case needs a daily close above the prior high.

ConfirmationDaily close above $119.19.

InvalidationClose below $114.93.

TargetsNone published

Expires

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LITEOpticsTrend continuation if the $1,000 area becomes support.watching$998.88$934.51swing
Details

StructureThe prior high is the primary acceptance level.

ConfirmationDaily close above $998.88.

InvalidationClose below $934.51.

TargetsNone published

Expires

Plan this setup →

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MUMemoryEarnings and guidance reinforce the AI-memory cycle; the swing case requires price confirmation rather than a fade of good news.watching——swing
Details

StructureDaily acceptance above the post-earnings range is required.

ConfirmationDaily close above the post-earnings range high.

InvalidationClose below the earnings-gap or reaction low.

TargetsNone published

Expires

Plan this setup →

Chart by TradingView; data may be delayed.

Levels as of 2026-09-30 close. Research references, not trade signals. Disclosures →

CATALYSTS

Catalyst Calendar

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